Across America, Democrats are already celebrating, and Republicans are already planning their revenge. With each passing day, more and more Americans are acting as if the election is already over, even though most people who will vote still have not done so. The election will be won on Election Day.
Those Democrats who think that opinion polls show that Barack Obama is certain to win need to remember what opinion polls have shown in earlier in this campaign season. In 2007, people were describing Hillary Clinton as the inevitable Democratic nominee. Then, the Iowa Democratic caucuses changed that. On the morning of the New Hampshire primaries, people were talking about how Barack Obama was sure to win, and wondering what kind of exit Hillary Clinton would make.
Democrats would also do well to remember Election Day 2004, when exit polls at mid day indicated that John Kerry would have a strong victory over George W. Bush. Instead, we got the 51 percent “mandate” of George W. Bush.
Forget the polls. Nobody knows the future. The Y2K bug and bird flu never came. The Segway never caught on. John McCain could still become the next President of the United States.