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Juval Aviv Returns to U.S., Again Predicting Imminent Terrorist Attack

In 2005, self-professed “terrorism expert” Juval Aviv appeared on FOX News to issue a dire prediction based on his ironclad sources. A terrorist attack was:

Imminent and around the corner here in the United States. It could happen as soon as tomorrow, or it could happen in the next few months. Ninety days at the most.

It didn’t happen, but that didn’t stop Juval Aviv from appearing on FOX again and again with his dire predictions. In the summer of 2007, again Aviv predicted a terrorist attacks in “ninety days”:

Juval Aviv predicts terrorist attack in 2007

This time, the group promoting Juval Aviv’s claims of a terrorist attack within “ninety days” was Family Security Matters, a group that according to Sourcewatch was headed by senior members of the Bush administration. The terrorist attack didn’t happen then either, but you know what did happen? With Republican politicians all around Washington braying in response about that supposed imminent terrorist attack, the Protect America Act was shoved through Congress with mere days of notice. You remember: that was the law they passed after Republican Senate Majority Leader Trent Lott stepped in front of the microphones and told everyone to vacate DC before the inevitable August 2007 terror attack. No, there was no terrorist attack, but thanks to all that waving of hands they sure did pass that law. The Protect America Act was the precursor to the FISA Amendments Act, a bill that enables the federal government to search your belongings, your home, your office, and your communications without notice to you, and without a constitutionally-mandated warrant or even notice to a judge for 67 days.

Juval Aviv should have left this country in shame after twice hawking predictions of imminent terrorist attack, once supported by FOX and once supported by a Bush-administration-packed homeland security advocacy group. And indeed, Juval Aviv did leave the country for a time last year, traveling to Australia to tell gullible audiences Down Under that they were in danger of imminent terrorist attack. No, that didn’t come to pass either.

I assumed that Juval Aviv would have the sense not to come back to the States and make his predictions again. I underestimated (or is that overestimated?) him.

Juval Aviv is back, back, back, back with his friends at FOX News, and guess what he’s predicting on FOX?

November 2008:

We’re at critical times right now between this time and the inauguration, where terrorists are gearing up.

January 7, 2009:

We still have a lot to prepare and a lot to do before the next event, an event that looks today more like it could happen than ever before….

I believe that the next attack will not be an aviation attack, but will be on mass transportation which is wide open and vulnerable.

I believe that the next attack will be 5, 6, 7 cities simultaneously at shopping malls, mass transportation, where a lot of people are at a certain time that they’re going to count on. Rush Hour. That’s the easiest way; to leave it in a truck, a parked truck somewhere, or just going into a subway and committing suicide. This is the most popular way of doing it, and unfortunately the easiest way to do it in America.

I always try to get FOX to donate half an hour a week to security and safety, and booking an expert to discuss what we should do in case things happen.

I think with what is happening right now in the Middle East, that may escalate. The war in Gaza may escalate into the North, Hezbollah and who knows where else. The Islamic world is in uprage. There’s going to be retaliation. Hamas will be defeated, and the only resort of revenge is terrorism. And we will feel that. We already see demonstrations around the world. We already see a lot of hate opposed to America and Israel and we will see some retaliation in the very, very near future and on a large scale.

We see already a lot of pre-terrorist attack preparation.

But wait… I should be fair to FOX News. They’re not the only outlet to be duped or to knowingly pass on baloney; a reporter for NBC is also gleefully shoveling out Juval Aviv’s scheiße, along with the dutiful note that Mr. Aviv has a book for sale:

I had an eye opening conversation with the president of that company and what he says all of us need to do.

“We are very complacent. America is complacent and you know, we are a target.”

Mr. Aviv believes the next big terror attack will target mass transit, malls or other large public gatherings simultaneously in five or more cities. The goal being economic paralysis: keep people from going to work.

Chandra Bill, reporter: “How do we educate the public?”

You know, I think Chandra Bill is the first person I’ve seen referring to herself with a profession after her name since the days of Ace Ventura, Pet Detective and Quincy, ME.

As they did when Juval Aviv popped out with his predictions in 2005 and 2007, bloggers are going apoplectic in reaction. I’m astounded to see the fear gears cranking up again, not even bothering to gather new material. Perhaps I shouldn’t be astounded any longer. People forget enough not to notice (or is it to care?) when the old lie is passed around again, no matter whether it is a little lie (my uncle’s cousin’s friend’s neighbors put razor blades in the apples on Halloween, so stay home) or a big one (the terrorists are going to attack 5-7 or 6-8 cities very soon).

Perhaps I should dare to make a little prediction of my own: two years from now, if Juval Aviv hasn’t suffered a stroke, he’ll be speaking to some audience on the television or in person somewhere, explaining that the terrorists are gearing up, that chatter is high, and that some time very soon 5,6 or 7 cities in the USA will be hit, so we’d better clutch our knees and sit tight. Most of the people in that audience will believe it. And some of them will try to do something to the rest of us to make themselves feel better.

26 comments to Juval Aviv Returns to U.S., Again Predicting Imminent Terrorist Attack

  • Andrew Yu-Jen Wang

    Speaking of terrorism:

    George W. Bush committed hate crimes of epic proportions and with the stench of terrorism (indicated in my blog).

    George W. Bush did in fact commit innumerable hate crimes.

    And I do solemnly swear by Almighty God that George W. Bush committed other hate crimes of epic proportions and with the stench of terrorism which I am not at liberty to mention.

    Many people know what Bush did.

    And many people will know what Bush did—even to the end of the world.

    Bush was absolute evil.

    Bush is now like a fugitive from justice.

    Bush is a psychological prisoner.

    Bush has a lot to worry about.

    Bush can technically be prosecuted for hate crimes at any time.

    In any case, Bush will go down in history in infamy.

    Submitted by Andrew Yu-Jen Wang
    B.S., Summa Cum Laude, 1996
    Messiah College, Grantham, PA
    Lower Merion High School, Ardmore, PA, 1993

    “GEORGE W. BUSH IS THE WORST PRESIDENT IN U.S. HISTORY” BLOG OF ANDREW YU-JEN WANG
    ______________________
    I am not sure where I had read it before, but anyway, it is a linguistically excellent statement, and it goes kind of like this: “If only it were possible to ban invention that bottled up memory so it never got stale and faded.” Oh wait—off of the top of my head—I think the quotation came from my Lower Merion High School yearbook.

    • George W. Bush

      You folks should get ready to duck…after Fort Hood, another plane bombing attempt and security lapse Christmas 2009, do you libs seriously believe you’re safe? Wake up and smell the cordite! Hopefully, Aviv is wrong indefinitely but he’s absolutely in the money that there will be more attacks. It is simply a question of when and where. So, again, you libs can just bury your heads in the sand and go down lamely or finally stand up, support anti-terrorist laws and get real.

      • “George”, consider what you’re saying. You’re saying that, in a nation of over 300 million people, we ought to be afraid because one incompetent idiot on one plane burned himself with a weapon he didn’t know how to handle, another person walked the wrong way down the hallway, and one person with U.S. military training killed a handful of people.

        “George”, I can tell that you thrive on feeling that the nation is under seige. It gives you the jollies. Get your private pleasure your way if you must, but the numbers just don’t add up to a reasonable fear.

  • Tom

    It is amazing that the article talks about Juval Aviv, but yet the above poster, Andrew Yu-Jen Wang, took the opportunity not at all to respond to your story, but instead spew his obvious hatred for George W. Bush, having no relevance whatsover. His extremism is, therefore, no different than yours at IrregularTimes, a most suitable name.

  • Chris

    Sounds like some college student “know it all,” who needs his 2.5 minutes of fame. Thanks for the info sweetie, but save it for the debate team!

  • I’m doing research on this Israeli super spy and run into all the negative data. “WTF?????” How can a guy dupe the news media so thouroughly and deeply?How can a guy continue to promote a book that is obviously a fairytale ( on his part) at book signings and appearances? BALLS cried the Queen!I’m begining to think that these “consultants” and wannabe “Advisors” that Fox shoves in front of our face every evening to back up their stories are ALL fabricated personalities. Take Col. David Hunt ( U. S. Army RET) who is usually on camera to “yeah-right” for O’Reilly. He comes on talking about the ops in somalia and the USS Bainbridge as if he was there. I don’t think the Col. Knows a fantail from a scuddlebutt. He is Army. He hates sailors and Navy guys. He says exactly THAT in the first paragraph on page 128 of his book ON THE HUNT.If GM had these guys working on the car lot, we’d all be driving cars we didn’t need and GM would be in the black.

  • Michelle

    While I agree that these news execs should investigate their guests much more thoroughly, I do believe that we can filter some good advice out from amongst all the garb. He is right on point when he says that the U.S. does not know how to deal with terrorism. He is also right about us being naive to the eminence of another terrorist attack. He is correct about our government “babying” us and not making us aware of these threats. We found out how unprepared we are as a nation on 9/11. Mr. Aviv may not be correct about his predictions, but he has some points that are well said. We need to step up our awareness so that when faced in such a situation, we can effectively deal without panic.

    • Jim

      Juval Aviv was wrong about the “imminence of another terrorist attack.” His repeated, periodic insistence that another major terrorist attack on U.S. soil is imminent has been shown by the course of actual events — repeatedly — to be wrong. Just wrong.

      But I agree that he has some points that are well said. His use of grammar is esteemable. We definitely need to step up our awareness of grammar.

  • qs

    Where did you initially read about this story?

  • Susan

    I think the above young man from Messiah college (boy that’s a oxymoron with his filthy hate spewed)Andrew Yu-Jen Wang – he may JUST be the “home grown terrorist” that Aviv was talking about. He is unsettling!

  • James

    I contacted Aviv’s company for a response to the above. About the terror predictions, they basically said that at certain times over the past years terrorist attacks have been very likely, particularly around religious holidays or major elections. The fact that a major attack has not happened, does not mean that there are no terrorists or that they were not planning an attack. They said that Aviv does believe that mass transit is a major terrorist target and feels that that is pretty much common sense. Mass transit has been a major terrorist target around the world for decades.

    About his past, they responded that Mr. Aviv’s “bonafides” had been verified by the FBI as well as dozens of major law firms and corporations who have hired him over the last 30 years and the publisher of the book “Vengeance” for which he was a source. Apparently the FBI investigated him in the early 80’s to prove that he was not spying for Israel in the U.S. They confirmed at the time that he had been with the Mossad but was not a spy in the U.S. The report is available through the Freedom of Information Act. They sent me a whole PDF with a long response and the redacted FBI report and some other documents but I couldn’t figure out how to link it.

  • Frances Dickman

    I think you should all bloody well shut up. None of you seem to know what the hell you are talking about. Who really cares what the predictions are; the fact is that many terrorist attacks have been thwarted here and in the UK as well as other countries in Europe. Face it everyone, the terrorists are out there just waiting for the opportunity to attack our country again. The goal of these Islamic “murderers” is to rid the world of Jews and Christians and turn everyone left to Islam. It’s written in their “holy book.” We are talking about a violent religion born in the 8th century with 8th century ideals. They haven’t grown like the rest of us (just take a look at the way they live in their own countries) and if we don’t watch out, they’ll accomplish their goals. Wake up people before it’s too late! Just take a look at what the Islamic influence has done in the UK and Europe. Anywhere in the world when we read about terrorist attacks, they are always perpetrated in the name of Islam.

  • Everybody is a terrorism expert. Just like Frances Dickman comment, many terrorist attacks have been thwarted, especially here in the USA. You can criticize Bush/Cheney and focus in on everything you can possibly conjure or imagine about the horrible things they did, but it’s just your own political agenda, not the facts. The facts are that you can thank the Bush administration for taking a bat and gun into the radical Islamic movement and pulverizing the overwhelming majority of them. Many a planned terrorist, many a planned future terrorist, and many a enemy of the USA has met their maker in the desert, not in New York thanks to the Bush administration. What really happened is at a time of dire danger for Americans on American Soil, The Bush administration lead our enemy into the desert and killed many of them. How obvious must this be before some of us realize what really happened. His method of protecting us is a story that would be fitting of any honored warrior in the bible.

    Of course I think Bush made a lot of mistakes, what president has not? But his administration and the armed forces are true hero’s and shame on you people for not giving credit for the unimaginable number of American lives saved on USA soil…

    He brought hell and brimstone to the core of the radical Islamic armies and have, for the moment, cut off the arms and legs of this beast! Why doesn’t anyone really get this? What is especially vile to me is the ignorance of protecting terrorists rights such as water-boarding, torture and other tools to extract information from the same group of people that murdered innocent Americans at the WTC. If your son, daughter, mother or father were among the WTC victims, then would you still feel the same about terrorist rights? Would you care then if we water boarded the commander that ordered the execution of your family member to know if other members of your family were also targets. Tell me now that you want humane treatment for that terrorist! It is so easy to be critical of actions when you are outside of both the loss and the action to protect. Some of the postings I have seen that are so misguided come from people that are neither part of the victims nor part of the solution. They are just part of the complainers that don’t bother to really see what is going on.

    Think before you form your conclusions people.

  • Frederick Furreal

    I find it amusing as well as disturbing that no one seems to think about why these “terrorists” are so angry with the U.S. and Europe. Does anyone even know that we have been taking these people’s natural resources for as long as oil has had value. We have destroyed their governments and put dictators in their place. Seriously, I abhor violence in any form, but there is no difference between a patriot and a terrorist. Only the race of the person makes the difference. If Blake and Dickman want to profess their knowledge about what a terrorist really is they need to understand what we have done to create them.

  • Kelly

    As stated above, the important thing is cull out the personal political agenda from the facts.

    1. Terrorist attacks ARE thwarted. Maybe the predictions were true and the attacks were thwarted, maybe not. But the fact is that we CAN be attacked anytime and Americans for the large part do not believe it or don’t want to believe it.

    2. Every President, every human, has made “mistakes.” To attack a President for any particular “mistake” misses the boat on the issue of terrorism.

    3. Education and awareness is key. The suggestions about having family “where to meet” safety plans and whatnot is a good idea not just for terrorism but in general. We teach our children not talk to strangers (I hope) but we should also be teaching them to watch for bags left alone. There is no harm in this, and who knows, maybe that education and awareness will thwart a terrorist attack.

  • Sassy

    “Much has been written already about what happened at Fort Hood last week. But to understand why it happened, it may be useful to start by reminding ourselves that the shooting was the first act of suicide terrorism on American soil by a homegrown Islamic extremist.” (Words by Alex Alexiev)

    Wake up people. Stop bashing the messenger and put more thought into how much you truly don’t know and then educate your self on what you need to know.

    Terriorism is here in America, like it or not. The blame game goes nowhere.

    As previously written. Education and awareness are key. Yes, they will help thwart further attacks…. of which, no doubt, there will be.

  • Phil

    Why continue to play the blame game. We can give the oil back, pull out of their country, what ever. All the oil and war issues are irrelevant. They don’t care. The facts are:
    Islamic extremist (Terrorist) are here and they are here now.
    Their goal is to kill all Christians and Jews. (aka Americans / Westerners)
    Republican, Democrat, Liberal, Conservative, doesn’t matter.
    They will continue this terriorism forever as long as they can create havoc.
    They are watching and listening. We are feeding them with ideas as we continue to disagree with each other.
    We figure ways to disrupt their plots and the media tells them.
    Way to go!
    We all need to open our eyes and ears. Use some common sense and realize what’s going on around us. The only one you can trust is yourself. Government can’t help you at a local level. There aren’t enough police on the job. Quit thinking “what are you going to do to help me” and help yourself for a change. As previously written. Education and awareness are key. We should never quit educating ourselves.
    Terrorist are cowards and lowlifes. They will never stand up to you face to face as did the Japanese or Germans. Terrorist deserve no rights. Judge and jury should take place in the field. Our courts have better things to do than try a crotch bomber ( oh ya, the alleged crotch bomber) for the next several years.

    This is going to be a way of life, get use to it!

  • Rich

    And yet, as he predicted years ago, some idiot finally tried to blow up his underwear on a plane and now we all have virtual strip-searches. Perhaps we should listen to Mr. Aviv after all. Time may very well vindicate him.

    • Horatio

      Are you freaking kidding me, Rich? He said, years ago, that the terrorist attack would come within “ninety days at the most.” Vindicated?

      And some goofy teenager who couldn’t bomb his way out of a paper bag comes years after Aviv’s WRONG predictions? This is like Nostradamus. Some people will believe it’s prophecy no matter what reality indicates.

  • His predictions may be off but it gets legitimate Americans thinking and probably the would be terrorists as well. We must always be alert as a country because the second we let our gaurd down and naivity sets in…that’s when it will happen! You should not consider yourself predjudice by staring down someone who fits the profile of a terrorist and they will try very hard to overly look like American citizens. Remember, they want to kill you!!!

    • Horatio

      RB, how do you know what will happen in the future? Do you have a crystal ball? If so, let’s you and I go into the stock market together. If not, please don’t pretend.

  • Margaret Ricards

    Without generalising the majority of americans on this blog are freaking mad. You know why? Becsause you are to wrapped up in your ideas of high and mightiness. When instead of eating your way round the clock, you sit down have a good read you’ll realize that radical terrorists are on your own soil, perhaps your next door neighbours, without you idiotic people even realizing it. Read books such as The Terrorist Hunter, read The Base, read the Middle East monthly magazine – there is a world outside America, and you are at risk such as we Europeans are. When you stop plunging your idiotic heads in your freaking sand perhaps you’ll start realizing how right Juval Aviv was. Perhaps not date wise, but if America was not attacked american interests abroad were, such as chain hotels in Islamabad, and Jordan. In Europe we were attacked as well. What do you think you mad Americans?? That Al Qaeda is dead – in that case you’re living your own funeral. I used to think that George Bush’s attitude was too state centric, but he was damn right. Perhaps if you were not attacked within 90 days as predicted it was thanks to George Bush’s realist theories. I hope that Juval Aviv’s predictions for your and our own sake will not come true, but I have the distinct feeling that they will.

    • Jim

      Faith is a belief that cannot be shaken by empirical reality.

      If a terrorist attack occurs, then Juval Aviv was right and terrorism is our central threat of the day. If a terrorist attack does not occur, then it just goes to show how terrorism is our central threat of the day.

      Unshakable belief.

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