Fact Check: Nonie Darwish and Enough Muslims to Elect a President in 20 Years?
In this morning’s e-mail, Irregular Times received the following message:
Joys of Muslim Women by Nonie Darwish…
In twenty years there will be enough Muslim voters in the U.S. and Canada to elect the President or Prime Minister by themselves! Rest assured they will do so… You can look at how they have taken over several towns in the USA and Canada, Dearborn Mich. is one, Brampton, Ontario is another and there are others…
I think everyone in the U.S. and Canada should be required to read this, but with the ACLU, there is no way this will be widely publicized, unless each of us sends it on!
Time to roll out the Fact Checker.
Claim: Nonie Darwish wrote this article, “The Joys of Muslim Women,” or any other piece of writing so titled.
Fact: Nonie Darwish has specifically denied this. The association of Nonie Darwish with this text is a hoax.
Claim: The ACLU is preventing the wide dissemination of the assertion I received by e-mail.
Fact: There is not any record of the ACLU agitating to restrict the dissemination of this text. It would not make sense for the ACLU to agitate to restrict dissemination of this text, since the ACLU is a major proponent of free speech, including freedom of speech for unpopular ideas across the political spectrum. As an empirical matter, a google search for the text “In twenty years there will be enough Muslim voters in the U.S. to elect the President by themselves” turns up 17,900 results, indicating a rather wide dissemination. It is nearly impossible to prove that a conspiracy does not exist, so I leave it to you to decide between the two possibilities: Either the ACLU is carrying on a stealthy, invisible and utterly ineffectual campaign to quash the story we received by e-mail this morning, or the ACLU is not trying to quash it at all.
Claim: “In twenty years there will be enough Muslim voters in the U.S. and Canada to elect the President or Prime Minister by themselves!”
Fact: This is a claim we looked at last September after someone used it as a justification of bans on mosque building:
As a mother and a grandmother, I worry. I learned that in 20 years with the rate of the birth population, we will be overtaken by Islam, and their goal is to get people in Congress and the Supreme Court to see that Shariah is implemented. My children and grandchildren will have to live under that.
The truth is that, according to the two most recent studies of religious populations in America, (the American Religious Identification Survey and the U.S. Religious Landscape Survey), Muslims make up only 0.6% of the adult population of the United States. That’s approximately 1.8 million out of about 300 million Americans.
Here’s a graph showing what we can expect the Muslim population of the United States to look like over the next twenty years if the American Muslim population follows the U.S. birth rate, the World birth rate, or the Saudi birth rate (three reasonable expectations):
The total U.S. population during the period will be somewhere in the range of 300-350 million. Clearly, unless a comet blasts into North America and Muslims put up their secret comet-debris-shields, there is no reasonable scenario under which the American Muslim population will come anywhere close to making up a majority in the next twenty years.
Conclusion: This article is once, twice, three times disconnected from reality.