As week after week after week passes, initial moderate flows of support to Americans Elect candidates have slowed to tepid streams and finally down to a meager trickle.
This past Saturday, AE Transparency compiled statistics on how close drafted and declared candidates in the Americans Elect system have come to reaching the ballot access standards for political insiders (1,000 votes of support in 10 states) or political outsiders (5,000 votes of support in 10 states). AE Transparency’s graph shows how very far they all are from success:
The most popular vote-getters, Ron Paul and Jon Huntsman, are “draft” candidates, politicians who have made it clear they will not participate in the Americans Elect process. Even these relatively popular options have not received a significant absolute number of votes, and therefore are nowhere near the needed pace to gain ballot access in the Americans Elect system. If they were on pace, they should have reached a 57% threshold by now in their top 10 states, but even the internet(only) juggernaut Ron Paul has drawn less than a third of the necessary Americans Elect votes. The show isn’t opening well.
Actually declared Americans Elect candidates are noted with an asterisk in AE Transparency’s graph, and they’re doing far worse than the draft candidates. How dismal are the results for declared Americans Elect candidates? The 8th most popular Americans Elect declared candidate right now is an avowed White Supremacist, Merlin Miller. #11, David Jon Sponheim, went into blackface a few months back to complain that he couldn’t get sufficient attention as a white man in America:
Let’s restrict our attention to the most popular Americans Elect declared candidates, the ones more popular than Miller and Sponheim. At his current rate, declared candidate Buddy Roemer will gain Americans Elect ballot access for 2012 some time after Election Day in November 2012. Rocky Anderson is on a pace to perhaps gain ballot access for the 2012 elections by 2016. Both Roemer and Anderson are trying the I-hate-big-money line to gain supporters, but it doesn’t seem to play well with voters who notice that Americans Elect is supported and controlled by big money… while making democratic action by us little people practically impossible.
How dismal is Buddy Roemer’s vote total? Let’s put this in perspective. Even though votes in just the top 10 states count for Roemer’s ballot access (sorry, lower 40), we’ll count his votes across all 50 states to give him a bigger total. As of right now, that 50-state total stands at 2,315. By comparison, Republican Presidential candidate Ron Paul gained 2,289 votes in New Hampshire alone this year … in the Democratic Party Primary.
Despite his dismal popularity among the non-hedge-fund set, Buddy Roemer keeps plugging away, bless his tax-cut-for-the-rich heart… and the Big Media just can’t get enough of him. MSNBC practically has its own recurring Buddy Roemer Show. This afternoon, NPR gave Buddy Roemer a news story and then his own 5-minute segment to promote his Americans Elect presidential campaign.
How’d it work? Here was Buddy Roemer’s tally of “support” votes for his top 10 states back on March 25 2012, two days ago:
The best state for Roemer is California, where’s two days ago 23.2% of the way to his goal of 1,000 support votes (and 58% of the voting period already expired). In half of his top 10 states, Roemer hadn’t reached even 10% of his needed total.
And here’s the Buddy Roemer tally of “support” votes in his top 10 states as of right now, 8:05 pm Eastern Time, about 4 hours after the big NPR Roemerpalooza:
Two full days and one NPR national Roemer promotional event later, how many more votes had Buddy Roemer soaked up in his top 10 states?
1. California: 7 more votes
2. Texas: 7 more votes
3. New York: 5 more votes
4. Louisiana: 3 more votes
5. Florida: no gain
6. Illinois: 3 more votes
7. Massachusetts: 3 more votes
8. Washington State: 5 more votes
9. North Carolina: 2 more votes
10. Ohio: 5 more votes
Despite considerable media promotion of Americans Elect and Buddy Roemer’s role within it (with 59 news stories in the past week alone), the Buddy Train is headed for nowhere… and it is Americans Elect’s most popular vehicle.
The bottom line: The vast majority of Americans, despite being exposed (or perhaps because they’ve been exposed) to the Americans Elect pitch, are just not interested in Americans Elect or its candidates. If Americans Elect wants to find itself a nominee, it’ll have to change its rules to accommodate a very, very small number of voters. Look for that change, or an utter capitulation, to emerge within the next few weeks.