Have St. Cloud Crime Rates Doubled Since Somalis Came to Town? The Answer Rhymes with Heck, Snow.
“What you would find is that Minneapolis did indeed, still experience a moderate drop in crime between 200 and 2012.
But that is only half-relevant to this article because they primary Somali refugee community is in St Cloud. Even at the time covered in your statistics, it’s common knowledge that more than 1.4% of the population was Somali then. However, as acknowledged by Somali community activists/advocates, they believe the area has over 20,000 now, and they call that a conservative estimate…
“Please look at today, not 11 years ago. And look at the correct city. If you did, you’d see that crime in St Cloud, host of “Little Mogadishu,” has more than doubled in almost all categories, the sharp increase starting in 2001. Now be a good investigator and look for the correlation between what happened in 2001 in St Cloud, and draw a logical conclusion that’s not based on the narrative that you are premeditatedly hoping to see.
First off, Minneapolis actually is the home to the largest Somali population in the United States, not St. Cloud. See also the U.S. Census bureau’s declaration on the subject: https://www.census.gov/content/dam/Census/library/publications/2014/acs/acsbr12-16.pdf. So Minneapolis is the most relevant city to study for crime rates.
Second, let’s look at St. Cloud. Have crime rates in St. Cloud doubled since Somalis began to immigrate to the city? Let’s look at violent crime rates and property crime rates using Uniform Crime Reports data from the FBI’s Crime in the United States. Unfortunately, since Minnesota was not in compliance with the FBI’s standards in reporting violent crimes, violent crime data is missing from 2005 to 2012. Fortunately, 2013 data is in that allows for the calculation of violent and property crime rates again. So let’s see what happened in St. Cloud, to which Somali immigration began in 2001. Here are the trends:
Neither the property crime rate nor the violent crime rate has done anything like doubling since the arrival of Somali immigrants. The 2013 violent crime rate levels are roughly consistent with patterns in St. Cloud in the decade before Somali immigration to St. Cloud began, and 2013 property crime rate levels represent a decrease from the decade before Somali immigration.