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Update On Donald Trump’s Big Chill

Six days ago, Donald Trump issued an alarm that New York City was about to receive a “major freeze” weeks ahead of the city’s ordinary time for a first frost. Trump suggested that the early frost was a sign that global warming isn’t really something anybody needs to worry about.

Actually, the date was only one week ahead of New York City’s usual date for a first frost.

Actually, New York City didn’t even get close to a frost that day.

Actually, New York City hasn’t had any frost at all so far this autumn, and is forecast to have daily low temperatures between 10 and 30 degrees higher than would be required even for a mild frost – even to one week after the average date for a first frost.

donald trump wrong frost prediction

Donald Trump tried to use New York City weather to suggest that global warming is a hoax.

The actual data suggest that, in fact, New York City is having an autumn that is warmer than normal, not the frigid anomaly that Donald Trump tried to portray.

Of course, a few weeks in New York City doesn’t indicate much about global climate, even if Donald Trump gets it completely, horribly wrong. No, we need to look at global data to come to conclusions about global climate. It just so happens that the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration came out with a report last week indicating that “The combined average temperature over global land and ocean surfaces for September 2015 was the highest for September in the 136-year period of record, at 0.90°C (1.62°F) above the 20th century average of 15.0°C (59.0°F), surpassing the previous record set last year in 2014 by 0.12°C (0.19°F). This marks the fifth consecutive month a monthly high temperature record has been set and is the highest departure from average for any month among all 1629 months in the record that began in January 1880. The September temperature is currently increasing at an average rate of 0.06°C (0.11°F) per decade.”

If Donald Trump can’t even read a local weather forecast accurately, how can he be trusted with data in more complex contexts, such as the national economy, foreign policy, congressional relations, and global climate change?

6 thoughts on “Update On Donald Trump’s Big Chill”

  1. Korky Day says:

    I, like Ralph Nader, think that Trump is good for the Republican Party. (E-search for their names together.)

    Compared to all the other Republican candidates and many of their supporters, Trump is smarter, more honest, more confident, more open, less inhibited, more engaging, more interesting, has a more stable family, has better hair, will finance his own campaign, won’t be as beholden to the other rich people, etc. Great sense of humour.

    He’s less secretive: he says the flippant or spontaneous foolish things that other Republicans are afraid to say. Once spoken, the discussion starts and he can back away from having to DO anything about it. Just shrug and move on.

    He’s not really racist or sexist, at heart, he is just careless about considering non-Whites or females until he is forced to do so. Consider how he backed down about Fiorina’s face.
    Just like most men.
    That’s why most people are attracted to him, even if they LOVE to HATE him.
    Deep psychology at work!

  2. Korky Day says:

    Exaggerated a bit about his family.

    1. J Clifford says:

      Update on the big chilly winter that Donald Trump announced we would all have: December 2015 was the warmest month ever measured on Earth, and now at the end of January, the temperatures to the NORTH of New York City are what we usually experience in April.

      – A high of 52 degrees today
      – A high of 47 degrees tomorrow
      – A high of 40 degrees on Tuesday
      – A high of 54 degrees on Wednesday

      So much for Mr. Trump’s prediction of a frigid cold winter. If he can’t track with these simple facts, what makes people believe he could possibly handle the complexity of running the Executive Branch of the federal government?

      1. Korky Day says:

        We will see what he says after he gets the nomination.

        1. J Clifford says:

          I daresay we will hear what Donald Trump says after someone gets the Republican presidential nomination. We may well hear Trump throwing a tantrum when someone else gets it. One thing we won’t hear Donald Trump say is “I was wrong”, because he never admits that, no matter how many times simple facts contradict his statements.

          1. Korky Day says:

            Yes, J Clifford, Trump’s strategy is not to admit fault. Not my style at all, but it’s working for him. If you follow him closely, though, as I do, you notice that he does improve after being criticised.

            The vast majority of the criticisms of Trump are baseless, though.
            He never said one racist thing that I’ve found.
            He never referred to menstruation.
            Both are repeated endlessly in the mainstream media, though.

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