Update On Donald Trump’s Big Chill
Six days ago, Donald Trump issued an alarm that New York City was about to receive a “major freeze” weeks ahead of the city’s ordinary time for a first frost. Trump suggested that the early frost was a sign that global warming isn’t really something anybody needs to worry about.
Actually, the date was only one week ahead of New York City’s usual date for a first frost.
Actually, New York City hasn’t had any frost at all so far this autumn, and is forecast to have daily low temperatures between 10 and 30 degrees higher than would be required even for a mild frost – even to one week after the average date for a first frost.
Donald Trump tried to use New York City weather to suggest that global warming is a hoax.
The actual data suggest that, in fact, New York City is having an autumn that is warmer than normal, not the frigid anomaly that Donald Trump tried to portray.
Of course, a few weeks in New York City doesn’t indicate much about global climate, even if Donald Trump gets it completely, horribly wrong. No, we need to look at global data to come to conclusions about global climate. It just so happens that the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration came out with a report last week indicating that “The combined average temperature over global land and ocean surfaces for September 2015 was the highest for September in the 136-year period of record, at 0.90°C (1.62°F) above the 20th century average of 15.0°C (59.0°F), surpassing the previous record set last year in 2014 by 0.12°C (0.19°F). This marks the fifth consecutive month a monthly high temperature record has been set and is the highest departure from average for any month among all 1629 months in the record that began in January 1880. The September temperature is currently increasing at an average rate of 0.06°C (0.11°F) per decade.”
If Donald Trump can’t even read a local weather forecast accurately, how can he be trusted with data in more complex contexts, such as the national economy, foreign policy, congressional relations, and global climate change?