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In Open Primary After Open Primary, the Supposed Wave of Black Support for Donald Trump Fails to Appear

Before the Republican presidential primaries began, Donald Trump insisted that “I am going to do great with the African Americans…. The African Americans love me.”

Now that we are in Mid-March of 2016, there have been multiple states holding “open primaries” — primaries in which a person of any party may choose in which primary they will participate: Alabama, Arkansas, Michigan, Mississippi, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont and Virginia.

This means that, if Donald Trump is right when he says “The African Americans love me,” black Americans will have departed the Democratic Party in droves in each state with open primaries to vote for the man they love so much: Donald Trump.

Did they?  Let’s check American Community Survey and CNN exit poll data to find out.

Alabama’s population self-reports as 26.4% black.  Yet only 4% of those voting in Alabama’s Republican primary were black.  Black Trump voters could not be found in high enough numbers in the state by exit pollers to statistically distinguish Trump’s black voter share from 0%.

Arkansas’ population self-reports as 15.5% black.  Yet only 2% of those voting in Arkansas’ Republican primary were black.  Black Trump voters could not be found in high enough numbers in the state by exit pollers to statistically distinguish Trump’s black voter share from 0%.

Michigan’s population self-reports as 14.0% black.  Yet only 3% of those voting in Michigan’s Republican primary were black.  Black Trump voters could not be found in high enough numbers in the state by exit pollers to statistically distinguish Trump’s black voter share from 0%.

Mississippi’s population self-reports as 37.3% black.  Yet only 6% of those voting in Mississippi’s Republican primary were black.  Black Trump voters could not be found in high enough numbers in the state by exit pollers to statistically distinguish Trump’s black voter share from 0%.

South Carolina’s population self-reports as 27.6% black.  Yet only 1% of those voting in South Carolina’s Republican primary were black.  Black Trump voters could not be found in high enough numbers in the state by exit pollers to statistically distinguish Trump’s black voter share from 0%.

Tennessee’s population self-reports as 16.8% black.  Yet only 2% of those voting in Tennessee’s Republican primary were black.  Black Trump voters could not be found in high enough numbers in the state by exit pollers to statistically distinguish Trump’s black voter share from 0%.

Texas’ population self-reports as 11.9% black.  Yet only 3% of those voting in Texas’ Republican primary were black.  Black Trump voters could not be found in high enough numbers in the state by exit pollers to statistically distinguish Trump’s black voter share from 0%.

Vermont’s population self-reports as 1.0% black.  Not one of the Republican or Trump-voting Vermonters polled by exit pollers was black.

Virginia’s population self-reports as 19.3% black.  Yet only 9% of those voting in Virginia’s Republican primary were black.  Black Trump voters could not be found in high enough numbers in the state by exit pollers to statistically distinguish Trump’s black voter share from 0%.

If “The African Americans loved you,” Donald, they would have voted for you.  The actual tendency points in the opposite direction.

Donald Trump in an OMG moment

6 thoughts on “In Open Primary After Open Primary, the Supposed Wave of Black Support for Donald Trump Fails to Appear”

  1. gloria mcmillian says:

    Blacks want free stuff and no accountability. It is proven because they refused to vote Carxon.

  2. puerto rican. frankie says:

    black and brown will dominate tbis country. Jesus says its our time. america is in fear of a black and brown planet. read the real bible we are the true israelites.

    1. J Clifford says:

      The Bible says nothing about the United States of America, or of the year 2016. You might as well say that “Huckleberry Finn” says that Ted Cruz is the true Tom Sawyer, and that minivans will dominate the highways, or that “A Tale Of Two Cities” warns that New Jersey will secede from the United States.

  3. Stephen Kent Gray says:

    If they didn’t vote for Trump specify which candidate black republicans favored in each state? Lots of people ignore primaries, so not voting in a primary doesn’t mean aynthing. Just tell us the percentage of the minority primary voters wh voted for whom in each state.

    1. Korky Day says:

      I agree with Stephen Kent Gray, above.
      Also, Blacks might have preferred to help their favourite in a Democratic Party primary.
      Doesn’t mean they won’t vote for Donald Trump in November, especially if that favourite Democrat loses the nomination.
      Furthermore, Trump might yet do much more to attract Blacks.

      Jim Cook might still turn out to be right, but we cannot infallibly predict the future.

      1. puerto rican. frankie says:

        donald chump wont get the black nor thee latino vote . he is a bigot a racist. d.chump and america are in panic mode . is called im fear of a black and brown planet and it wiill happen. you cant erase 400yrs of slavery .carma is a bad thing. the lord Jesus says its our time. times up!!!

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