It is a time of fear in the face of freedom, a time for the widening of previous roads and the opening of new paths, a time of an emptying country and swelling cities, yet a time when these paths are mined by knowing algorithms of the all-seeing eye. It is the time of the warrior's peace and the miser's charity, when the planting of a seed is an act of conscientious objection.

These are the times when maps fade and direction is lost. Forwards is backwards now, so we glance sideways at the strange lands through which we are all passing, knowing for certain only that our destination has disappeared. We are unready to meet these times, but we proceed nonetheless, adapting as we wander, reshaping the Earth with every tread. Behind us we have left the old times, the standard times, the high times. Welcome to the irregular times.


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Monday, November 12th, 2007

strange hourglass

Tracking 2008: Traffic to Candidate Websites as of 11/12/07

Back in September, we started looking at official campaign website traffic ratings for Democratic, Republican, Green and Independent candidates for president. To measure traffic to the presidential candidates’ websites, we rely on rankings from Alexa, a website that collects information on site visits for websites across the internet by users of the Alexa toolbar, then uses a combination of visitors and page views to a website to calculate a page rank. The most visited site in the whole internet would have a rank of 1, and the least visited website — well, that would get a big fat blank. Bottom line: the lower the page rank, the more visits and visitors a web page has been getting lately.

The following are the Alexa page ranks of Democratic, Green, Independent and Republican presidential candidates measured on October 20 and measured again on November 12, 2007. The last column on the right shows the three weeks’ change between those two dates (remember, a higher ranking shows up as a lower number rank):

10/20/2007 11/12/2007 Change
Democrats
Joseph Biden: 238,901 192,955 (up 45,946 in rank)
Hillary Clinton: 31,817 35,643 (down 3,826 in rank)
Christopher Dodd: 128,087 210,798 (down 82,711 in rank)
John Edwards: 90,787 62,942 (up 27,845 in rank)
Mike Gravel: 216,964 163,963 (up 53,001 in rank)
Dennis Kucinich: 61,000 51,908 (up 9,092 in rank)
Barack Obama: 22,877 19,430 (up 3,447 in rank)
Bill Richardson: 177,900 191,576 (down 13,676 in rank)
Independents
Orion Karl Daley: 6,298,163 no visits by alexa users (drop from ranking)
Kelcey Wilson: 2,037,349 2,013,323 (up 24,026 in rank)
Greens
Jared Ball: 943,896 no visits by alexa users (drop from ranking)
Jerry Kann: no visits by alexa users no visits by alexa users (no change in rank)
Kent Mesplay: no visits by alexa users no visits by alexa users (no change in rank)
Joe Schriner: no visits by alexa users 2,290,913 (new in rank)
kat swift: 9,112,647 8,864,113 (up 248,534 in rank)
Republicans
Rudolph Giuliani: 97,876 102,056 (down 4,180 in rank)
Mike Huckabee: 111,793 44,868 (up 66,925 in rank)
Duncan Hunter: 297,142 314,945 (down 17,803 in rank)
Alan Keyes: 435,494 576,766 (down 141,272 in rank)
John McCain: 143,658 129,434 (up 14,224 in rank)
Ron Paul: 8,605 3,991 (up 4,614 in rank)
Mitt Romney: 77,877 69,721 (up 8,156 in rank)
Tom Tancredo: 493,684 692,956 (down 199,272 in rank)
Fred Thompson: 100,829 103,037 (down 2,208 in rank)

For quick reference, I’ve labeled upward trends with green and downward trends with red. There isn’t a single trend here toward increased visits as the primary elections come closer; rather, there’s variation, with some candidates’ websites getting a lot more attention than others’. Talk about Mike Huckabee’s emergence as a fundamentalist candidate of choice is borne out here, with a lot of people checking out his campaign. Both Dennis Kucinich and John Edwards have also been attracting more attention, although both rank well behind Barack Obama, who is most-visited Democratic candidate on the web. But then there’s Ron Paul. You know, there’s a barrier effect to website rankings; once you’ve gotten up in the rankings it’s very hard to get higher because every other website in that group is highly competitive and, well, there just aren’t that many numbers in ranking left to go. But Ron Paul just keeps doing it, halving his website rank again. I don’t agree with many of the man’s stands, but it’s undeniable that he is coming on strong as a candidate, at least on the Internet.

If the Green Party were going to have any force in this election season, I think we would have seen it by now, since Green supporters in the past have been highly-educated users of the Internet. But the Green Party candidates I’ve been tracking have simply not been attracting attention.

We’ll take a look at these again after another two or three weeks and see whether and how trends change.


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