In December of 2012, the Lewiston Sun Journal featured “psychic” Vicki Monroe and her predictions for 2013. This is the same Vicki Monroe who tells the world “the spirits” tell her the future. Vicki Monroe’s website (search “Maine psychic Vicki Monroe” if you really must see it) features photoshopped glistening false stars orbiting her head, right next to a price list — she sells “psychic” consultations for the low, low price of $250 an hour. She’s that good… in her mind. Is Vicki Monroe’s “psychic” ability worth $250 an hour in reality? Let’s check Monroe’s predictions for 2013 from the Sun Journal Article:
“In 2013, she said spirits see a fiscal cliff averted, more jobs in Maine, good gas prices and something big for Tom Cruise. ‘Top Gun II?’ Nope, even bigger. Congress will reach a compromise to avert the much-discussed fiscal cliff. Republicans will give more ground than Democrats, she said.”
1. Fiscal cliff averted? Yes, on January 1.
Running total: 1 right for “psychic” Vicki Monroe.
2. “Republicans will give more ground than Democrats”? “Peter Roff: GOP Got Its Way in Fiscal Cliff Deal”. Atlantic: Ultra-Rich Win.
Running total: 1 right, 1 wrong for “psychic” Vicki Monroe.
3. More jobs in Maine? Well, yes. According to the Maine Department of Labor there were 487,753 Mainers employed at the end of 2012 and 493,401 Mainers employed in 2013.
Running total: 2 right, 1 wrong for “psychic” Vicki Monroe.
4. Good gas prices? According to gasprices.com, gas prices basically stayed unchanged from 2012 to 2013, not dropping back down until late 2014:
Running total: 2 right, 2 wrong for “psychic” Vicki Monroe.
5. “Something big for Tom Cruise”? “‘Top Gun II?’ Nope, even bigger”?
Er, no. One movie with Tom Cruise was released in 2013. Oblivion had a gross of $89.1 million, a low figure for a Tom Cruise movie. Oblivion cost $120 million.
Running total: 2 right, 3 wrong for “psychic” Vicki Monroe.
6. “Congress will deal with gun control. Automatic weapons and these high-powered rifles, semi-automatics that belong in war zones will be, I think, removed, and only used in situations where they are absolutely necessary,” Monroe said. “There’s no legitimate reason as far as what they say, that these need to be at homes.”
Actually, no. Congress passed absolutely no gun control legislation in 2013.
Running total: 2 right, 4 wrong for “psychic” Vicki Monroe.
“In Maine, someone will buy and restart the Hostess Brands’ Biddeford plant and the state will see more environment-related employment. Manufacturing jobs should pick up as well.”
7. Hostess Brands’ Biddeford plant bought and restarted in 2013?
Sadly, no. In June 2014, after the plant sat moldering for all of 2013, equipment was shipped off elsewhere. There was no sale in 2013.
Running total: 2 right, 5 wrong for “psychic” Vicki Monroe.
8. The state sees more environment-related employment in 2013?
9. More manufacturing jobs in 2013?
No measurement and no. The Maine Department of Labor doesn’t keep track of environment-related employment, so there’s no way to check. The Maine DOL reported 50,592 manufacturing jobs at the end of 2013, a decrease in maufacturing jobs from 50,790 at the end of 2012.
Running total: 2 right, 6 wrong for “psychic” Vicki Monroe.
10. “From what I understand, it is still going to be a milder-than-usual winter, although we will get more of a mixed precipitation,” Monroe said. “The plow people will not like me, but that’s the way it is.”
Yes, according to NOAA, the winter of 2012-2013 was indeed milder than usual.
Running total: 3 right, 6 wrong for “psychic” Vicki Monroe.
“Next summer could bring more rain here, more fires out West.”
11. More rain in Summer 2013? Again according to NOAA, June 2012 was wetter than normal in Maine
We’ll call that one a wash — no winner or loser on that prediction. By the way, did you notice Vicki Monroe’s “could” in the rainfall sentence? Her statement is trivially true, just as trivially true as the statement that a meteor “could” strike my house in 3 seconds. Whoops, didn’t. But it “could” have happened!
12. “More fires out West”?
Actually, the National Interagency Fire Center reports 18,000 fewer fires than average in 2013.
Running total: 3 right, 7 wrong for “psychic” Vicki Monroe.
13. “As far as New England, there could be a few more earthquake-type tremors that we’ve had. Nothing that’s catastrophic.”
Nope. According to the New England Seismic Network, there were 184 earthquakes in New England in 2013 and 153 earthquakes in New England in 2012. That’s a decrease, not an increase. Wrong again!
Running total: 3 right, 8 wrong for “psychic” Vicki Monroe.
14. “No New England Patriots in the Super Bowl”?
Vicki Monroe was right.
Running total: 4 right, 8 wrong for “psychic” Vicki Monroe.
15. “No Boston Red Sox in the World Series”?
Um, the Red Sox not only were in the World Series — they won it. Big time wrong.
Running total: 4 right, 9 wrong for “psychic” Vicki Monroe.
16. “Researchers will make advances linking cancer and stress, she said. They’ll also have news on the drug front.”
That’s not a prediction. That’s a guarantee. Researchers make advances on these fronts every year. I won’t do the honor of counting this. She might as well have predicted that “somewhere, there will be sheep.”
17. “In a gossip roundup, the spirits don’t see newly engaged Kelly Clarkson living happily ever after. (‘That marriage, kaput.’)”
Um, Kelly Clarkson is not only still married, but has welcomed a baby to her family this year. Vicki Monroe is not just talking trash — she’s making it all up as she does it.
Running total: 4 right, 10 wrong for “psychic” Vicki Monroe.
18. The sprits “see Justin Bieber making movies.”
Running total: 5 right, 10 wrong for “psychic” Vicki Monroe.
19. “Blake Shelton and Miranda Lambert may be getting pregnant.”
Don’t you love that hedging “may?” Are the spirits timid, Vicki Monroe? Well, “the spirits” were wrong. Miranda Lambert and Blake Shelton still have no children. Even the rumor of an impending baby in 2014 was quashed as gossip.
Running total: 5 right, 11 wrong for “psychic” Vicki Monroe.
20. Check out this prediction from “the spirits”: “There was another one they were talking about, that Tom Cruise would leave the church, Scientology.”
No, Tom Cruise is still wearing his Scientology Medal of Valor around town.
Running total: 5 right, 12 wrong for “psychic” Vicki Monroe.
21, 22, 23, 24. “Expect an upset at the Academy Awards: Bradley Cooper for best actor over Daniel Day Lewis. Sally Field for best actress. “Lincoln” for best picture and Quentin Tarantino for best director.”
Let’s strike ‘em down:
No, Daniel Day Lewis won best actor.
No, Jennifer Lawrence won best actress.
No, Argo won best picture.
No, Ang Lee won best director.
Running total: 5 right, 16 wrong for “psychic Vicki Monroe.”
“Finally, will fans be happy with the new Star Wars movies? Maybe. It’s murky.”
Very murky indeed — there’s no new movies and it’s hard to say what fans could or couldn’t be happy about. No tally on this last item.
With our final tally at 5 correct predictions and 16 incorrect predictions, the final conclusion is that “psychic” Vicki Monroe is
A monkey flipping a coin could have done better. Do monkeys rake in $250 an hour?