I remember as a child in the early 1980s watching the PBS science program Nova as a scientist (looking the part with his glasses and wild hair) explained that according to the strict laws of probability, there was a 90% chance of a nuclear weapons accident by 1990. By the year 2000, he explained we [...]
In 2005, self-professed “terrorism expert” Juval Aviv appeared on FOX News to issue a dire prediction based on his ironclad sources. A terrorist attack was:
Imminent and around the corner here in the United States. It could happen as soon as tomorrow, or it could happen in the next few months. Ninety days at the [...]
In a rational world, Juval Aviv wouldn’t be trusted any more than a hot dog salesman who spits in his mustard.
You may remember that in the summer of 2007, the self-declared “intelligence expert” made the following prediction:
I predict, based primarily on information that is floating in Europe and the Middle East, that an [...]