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My Own New York Exploratory Republican Presidential Preference Poll

Yesterday, I received a New York Voter Exploratory Republican Presidential Preference Polling Ballot in the mail. Why would I receive a presidential preference poll from the Republicans, when I’ve never voted for a Republican in my life? I suppose the GOP data bots were programmed to note that I’m a political independent, and bring me [...]

Prediction Markets Suggest GOP Candidates for 2012: Romney, Palin, Pawlenty and Pence

With pretend play money at Inkling Markets and with actual money at Intrade, people are placing bets on the probability of all sorts of future events, including events in politics. Shares for possible outcomes are bought and sold, with the price for a share set in a market based on demand for that share. People [...]