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Do As The Predictive Analytics Innovation Summit Says, Not As It Does

If the people at the Predictive Analytics Innovation Summit are so good at predictive analytics, how come they have to ask me if I would like to attend? [...]

Prophet Hale, where are the Riots in Columbus, Ohio?

At the end of December 2011, Christian pastor and self-proclaimed prophet T.D. Hale predicted massive riots on the streets of Columbus, Ohio:

As I moved along the way I saw people running, looking for loved ones missing, totally out of their minds.

I quickly came over a large city, looked like it was Columbus, Ohio? [...]

Looking for the Microchip on my Arms March 23 2013… It's There! (Documentary Video)

Right wing and other conspiratorial websites like News With Views and Before It’s News have been sharing bold predictions about Obamacare microchips in their headlines, their Facebook posts and their Tweets over the past year or two:

“Micro Chip Implant Coming March 23, 2013″

“The New Health Care (Obama care) law H.R. 3590 Also HR [...]

The Madonna and John Corapi Prophecies: Still No Death or Mayhem from On High

Five years ago, in 2008, Catholic priest and media personality Father John Corapi predicted divine punishment for abortion and godlessness, railing in dire tones:

“If we do not soon stop the genocide of abortion in the United States, we shall run the course of all those that prove by their actions that they are enemies [...]

Americans Elect’s Three Wall Street Money Leaders: Watch Us Buy More Elections

Once heralding democracy for everyone, Americans Elect has restricted its voting membership down from tens of thousands of people to just three individuals: the individual Wall Street tycoon Peter Ackerman, the individual Wall Street tycoon Michael Bloomberg, and the individual Wall Street hedge fund Passport Capital (yes, corporations are people). Democracy works best when the [...]

How to Safely Predict a Disaster

The safest way to predict a disaster is not to predict anything. Kirk Elliott of the Asset Preservation Institute demonstrates the technique in an e-mail blasted out to the world this week:

Red Alert!

Important Announcement

For many years we have been providing information regarding the destruction of America, the collapse of the currency and [...]

After the End of the World: A Harold Camping Redemption Footnote

We’ve spent a little bit of time deriding the absurdity of Harold Camping’s counterfactual prediction that world would incontrovertibly end in Spring 2011, his later insistence in the world would really really end in October 2011, and his consistent call for money to maintain his “soul-saving” operation throughout. It all was rather silly.

But [...]

Evangelist’s Prediction of Mass Arson Flickers Out

In March of 2009, Christian evangelist David Wilkerson shared a message from the Holy Spirit, reiterating an old prophecy of flaming American doom that was “about to happen” thanks to (yes) the gays:

I am compelled by the Holy Spirit to send out an urgent message to all on our mailing list, and to friends [...]

Bloomberg Consultant Predicts 2012 Presidential Run By “Fed Up Businessperson”

In a little-noticed Washington Post end-of-year piece, Douglas Schoen answered the question, “What Will Be 2011’s Biggest Political Surprise?,” with the following prediction:

The biggest political surprise of 2011 will be the emergence of a potentially serious third-party candidate for president in 2012. There is simply too much dissatisfaction with Washington and with our political [...]

Prediction Markets Suggest GOP Candidates for 2012: Romney, Palin, Pawlenty and Pence

With pretend play money at Inkling Markets and with actual money at Intrade, people are placing bets on the probability of all sorts of future events, including events in politics. Shares for possible outcomes are bought and sold, with the price for a share set in a market based on demand for that share. People [...]

Rescheduled Date for the Terrorist Apocalypse: July 4, 2010

Doomsayers, you should have learned from the Millerites by now. William Miller made the mistake of pegging an actual date on the return of Jesus, Lord and Savior: October 23, 1844. More recently, Juval Aviv has made the mistake of predicting an imminent massive simultaneous terrorist attack on multiple U.S. cities. Juval Aviv makes this [...]