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Prediction Markets Suggest GOP Candidates for 2012: Romney, Palin, Pawlenty and Pence

With pretend play money at Inkling Markets and with actual money at Intrade, people are placing bets on the probability of all sorts of future events, including events in politics. Shares for possible outcomes are bought and sold, with the price for a share set in a market based on demand for that share. People […]

Rescheduled Date for the Terrorist Apocalypse: July 4, 2010

Doomsayers, you should have learned from the Millerites by now. William Miller made the mistake of pegging an actual date on the return of Jesus, Lord and Savior: October 23, 1844. More recently, Juval Aviv has made the mistake of predicting an imminent massive simultaneous terrorist attack on multiple U.S. cities. Juval Aviv makes this […]

84 Days Down, 97 to Go in Government’s “Certain” Terrorist Attack Time Frame

On February 2, 2010 the top 5 intelligence officials of the Obama administration told the Senate that an “attempted terrorist attack on the U.S. Homeland” within six months was not just a likelihood — it was “certain.” The intelligence officials followed up on this frightening claim with appeals for more money, more power and more […]

2 Months Since Government Declared Attack in 6 Months to be Certain

It’s been two months and two days since officials from civilian and military intelligence agencies declared unanimously before the Senate that an attempted terrorist attack on the “U.S. Homeland” within six months was “certain.”

There’s been no such attack yet, and the days are ticking down on this event whose occurrence is agreed to be […]

Testing Father Corapi's Imminent Destruction Abortion Prediction

Four months ago, Catholic priest and religious radio personality John Corapi made a dire prediction about the future of pro-choice America:

“If we do not soon stop the genocide of abortion in the United States, we shall run the course of all those that prove by their actions that they are enemies of God—total collapse, […]

Testing Father Corapi’s Imminent Destruction Abortion Prediction

Four months ago, Catholic priest and religious radio personality John Corapi made a dire prediction about the future of pro-choice America:

“If we do not soon stop the genocide of abortion in the United States, we shall run the course of all those that prove by their actions that they are enemies of God—total collapse, […]

Catholic Religious Imminent National Destruction Prediction Watch

Two nouns. Five adjectives. Imminentish Doom.

On October 17, 2008, Catholic Priest John Corapi sent out an e-mail to his followers in which he made that most dangerous of religious moves, an actual prediction:

“If we do not soon stop the genocide of abortion in the United States, we shall run the course of all […]

Mumbai Attacks Don't Suggest Similar US Attacks

Law enforcement leaders seem determined to see their own jurisdictions as intimately connected to far away events. That tendency seems to have more to do with what people want to believe about themselves than with the way that the world actually works. […]

Mumbai Attacks Don’t Suggest Similar US Attacks

Law enforcement leaders seem determined to see their own jurisdictions as intimately connected to far away events. That tendency seems to have more to do with what people want to believe about themselves than with the way that the world actually works. […]

Prognosticator Mitt Romnifies the Future Again

Once and future presidential candidate Mitt Romney trots over to Fortune Magazine to give President-Elect Barack Obama some helpful advice free of charge, peering into the future with his penetrating vision in order to unveil the shape of things to come:

I can only hope the President abandons the populist current, which seems to be […]

Osama Bin Laden and Other October Surprises Never Came

Remember all those reports of warships being sent to the Persian Gulf to prepare for the coming Iran war? Remember the reports that secret operatives were already in Iran to set the stage for an invasion? […]