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Has More Immigration Led to Higher Crime in the United States?


Sources: U.S. Census Bureau and Uniform Crime Reports.

Someone tell Donald Trump.


Has Crime in Towns around Lewiston, ME been “Doubling or Higher” Since Somali Immigrants Arrived?

Read the comments to this 2013 Irregular Times article if you’d like to see some cognitive dissonance at work. A lot of people “know” (by which I mean think) that Lewiston, Maine has become a much more crime-ridden place since Somali immigrants arrived there. The trouble is, this is demonstrably untrue. As a matter of […]

After Arrival of Somali Immigrants, was Lewiston a Crime Outlier for Maine?

Up here in Maine, if you ask a bunch of people on the street which is the most dangerous, crime-ridden town in the state, more than half will name Lewiston. Lewiston, Maine has a reputation for crime that many people blame on immigrants from the country of Somalia. There’s just one problem with that claim: […]

Proof that More Immigration Leads to Higher Crime

Except wait, it’s not proof of that at all. As the share of the U.S. population made up of immigrants has more than doubled, the violent crime rate has actually fallen.

Does this information fail to match your preconception? Try working through the cognitive dissonance this time.

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau and Uniform Crime […]

Did Somali Immigrants Really Plunge Lewiston, Maine into Crime? (2013 Fact Check Says…)

Since I moved to Maine, I’ve learned that Mainers think of some parts of their state as better than others. “Real Maine” includes the mill town of Millinocket, for example, but that term apparently doesn’t encompass the pastry, coffee and theater row of Hallowell. Someone needs to tell the thousands of people living in Hallowell […]

Fact Check Update: is Lewiston, Maine Crime-Ridden since the 2001 arrival of Somali Immigrants?

Since I’ve moved to Maine, I’ve encountered a lot of friendly people, but I’ve also heard many derogatory comments about the supposed criminality of Somali immigrants who began arriving in Lewiston, Maine in the year 2001. Last year, I decided to check the claim that Somalis had brought crime to Lewiston against the observed crime […]

NRA claim about Crime and Right-to-Carry States: Is it True? (Fact Check)

Yesterday, I noticed the recent Twitter posting of a disgraced former GOP chair:

“In right-to-carry states the violent crime rate is 24% lower than the rest of the US and the murder rate is 28% lower.”

A quick look at the latest available Uniform Crime Reports shows that this claim is not true. But I […]

Picture of a Panic: Fear of Crime and Actual Crime

The Gallup Poll does a great job of juxtaposing two trends. On the one hand, we have Americans who are consistently convinced each year that crime has worsened compared to the year before:

And on the other hand, we have actual crime report data from the Department of Justice, which shows that violent crime […]

Fact Check: is Lewiston, Maine riddled with Crime since Somali Immigrants Came to Town?

When I listen to people talk about the most “dangerous” places to live in Maine, the city of Lewiston constantly comes up. You wouldn’t want to live in Lewiston, people tell me. All the Somalis have made Lewiston a dangerous place to live, they say. You can see these kind of remarks online, too:

Madeleine, […]

Does Collecting Arrestees’ DNA Cut Crime? Preliminary Data Suggest Not

In the Spring of 2009, the FBI started warehousing DNA samples of Americans who had been arrested — but not necessarily convicted — of a crime. People declared not guilty of a crime, or who were never even charged with a crime, can have their DNA records expunged from the FBI database if they go […]

NYPD: New York’s Phony Data

Brown, Esbensen and Geis’ Criminology 7th Edition expresses problems with the Uniform Crime Reports dryly:

“The UCR also can be a tool for political manipulation. Police administrators sometimes rely upon these data to justify requests for additional money for personnel, equipment, and training. At other times, the Crime Index can be manipulated by a department […]